Thursday, October 30, 2008

For The City, A Drought Ends

But not for the team! The Phillies won two championships in 29 seasons, in a league with 30 teams. Granted, "all things" are not equal in baseball, but technically, a team should win approximately once every 30 years. When you factor in the fact that four teams entered the league in the last 30, and one year there was no champion, winning 28 years apart is right about average. (You could also say it's even less of a drought because the higher payroll teams are gonna win multiple titles over the average 30-year stretch, so if your team can pull one off every 30 years, you're actually ahead of the game.)

If you listened to my "podcast" tonight you know I'm not trying to take anything away from the Phillies, I'm just saying, is 28 years in a 30-team league really a "drought"? Because that's what the newspapers/TV/internet are calling it. Since the city has four teams, and they didn't have any titles in 25 years, that can be called a drought. I should go over all the World Series winners and do the math and see what the average baseball "drought" is. (You know I will.) [Update: From 1903-1960, there were 16 teams in the league--the average "drought" over that period was about 9 years--the crazy number of Yankee titles brought the average way down from what should've been 16. So I calculated the stretch from 1926-1960, threw out the Yanks, and over that time, the average was right around 16 years. The Yanks have now won exactly 1/4 of all World Series--26/104--so they really skew it, but my point is, you don't need math to know that the average drought is the number of years equal to the number of teams in the league.]

Anyway, nice job, Phils. 1980 is alive. Or something.

If you missed it, scroll down--Kwiz season has begun!

Philly has won championships in lacrosse (the Wings), indoor soccer (the Kixx), and arena football (the Soul) in the past decade or so. So, there never was a "Philly drought."
(And, no, that argument was never successful. I'm glad I don't have to try to use it any more.)

Post a Comment

If you're "anonymous," please leave a name, even if it's a fake one, for differentiation purposes.

If you're having trouble commenting, try signing in to whatever account you're using first, then come back here once you're signed in.

<< Home

This page is powered by Blogger. Isn't yours?

My Photo
Location: Rhode Island, United States